Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +5 (77-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Marshall * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 27 | -0.3 |
| Katin Reinhardt * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Anthony Bennett * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 15 | -3.0 |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Khem Birch * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Justin Hawkins | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Mike Moser | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Quintrell Thomas | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Daquan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Savon Goodman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 40 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +10.6 |
| Anthony Drmic * | 39 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +10.8 |
| Mikey Thompson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Derrick Marks * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Ryan Watkins * | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Kenny Buckner | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -6.3 |
| Thomas Bropleh | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Joe Hanstad | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter