Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 36 | - |
| K. Reinhardt * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 31 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| K. Birch * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Moser | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Goodman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Elorriaga * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| M. Thompson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | - |
| D. Marks * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Buckner | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter