Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -19 (60-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okaro White * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Michael Snaer * | 26 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Kiel Turpin * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Terry Whisnant * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devon Bookert | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Thomas | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ian Miller | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Robert Gilchrist | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Ojo | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter