Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +15 (71-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Rendleman * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Chris Dixon * | 33 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5 | -11.4 |
| Freddie Jackson * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Tanner Milson * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Shane Reybold * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Craig Ponder | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -16.1 |
| Cedrick Williams | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Tyree Graham | 14 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Dylan Sherwood | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Luke Hager | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -5.1 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Threatt * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +15.3 |
| Kyle Anderson * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +11.0 |
| Devon Saddler * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +9.1 |
| Jamelle Hagins * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 23 | +11.0 |
| Josh Brinkley * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +10.1 |
| Carl Baptiste | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Larry Savage | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Terrell Rogers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Marvin King-Davis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.4 |
* = starter