Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Georgetown Hoyas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +12 (68-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Greene IV * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Sir'Dominic Pointer * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -2.3 |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | -1.2 |
| D'Angelo Harrison * | 29 | 0-9 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -2.8 |
| Jamal Branch * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Chris Obekpa | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -12.3 |
| Marc-Antoine Bourgault | 13 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Amir Garrett | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Christian Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Felix Balamou | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Starks * | 38 | 4-17 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +21.8 |
| Nate Lubick * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | +9.2 |
| Jabril Trawick * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +14.1 |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +11.1 |
| Mikael Hopkins * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +9.5 |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +15.5 |
| Aaron Bowen | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Moses Abraham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Caprio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Bradley Hayes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Stephen Domingo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter