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2013-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 74.0% 26.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.0% 94.0% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Kelley * 29 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
M. Townsend * 28 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 2 2 0 0 8 11 -
A. Morgan * 28 2-5 0-2 5-5 0 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
J. Duren * 24 2-4 0-0 4-5 2 4 2 0 3 8 9 -
A. Cotton * 22 5-6 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 14 11 -
M. Grace 22 3-9 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 8 -1 -
J. Kreisberg 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
N. Victor 14 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Martin 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Sherrod 6 0-1 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
W. Childs-Klein 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Saunders * 39 6-8 0-1 3-4 4 11 0 1 6 15 17 -
L. Rivard * 31 5-8 5-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
C. Webster * 30 1-6 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 2 4 5 -
S. Chambers * 28 2-6 2-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 2 11 8 -
J. Travis * 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 4 2 -
S. Moundou-Missi 26 5-8 0-0 2-6 7 1 3 2 0 12 17 -
A. Nesbitt 13 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
K. Smith 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Okolie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter