Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson +3 (67-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Kelley * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Matt Townsend * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Austin Morgan * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Javier Duren * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Armani Cotton * | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Michael Grace | 22 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -13.0 |
| Nick Victor | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Sam Martin | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Brandon Sherrod | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Will Childs-Klein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Saunders * | 39 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 17 | +4.1 |
| Laurent Rivard * | 31 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Christian Webster * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Siyani Chambers * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Jonah Travis * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Steve Moundou-Missi | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +8.7 |
| Alex Nesbitt | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Kenyatta Smith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Agunwa Okolie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter