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Model Predictions

Model Marist Red Foxes Saint Peter's Peacocks Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Margin 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Peter's Peacocks +2 (70-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Devin Price * 43 3-14 0-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 8 -1 -3.5
Isaiah Morton * 40 2-7 1-6 6-6 4 4 1 0 4 11 9 +0.3
Adam Kemp * 39 2-3 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 4 6 6 9 +1.4
Chavaughn Lewis * 37 8-12 1-2 6-8 4 2 1 0 4 23 14 +0.5
Phillip Lawrence-Ricks * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 4 7 -4.0
Manny Thomas 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 3 0 1 5 10 +0.5
Dorvell Carter 12 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 +4.5
Anell Alexis 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 +3.8
Eric Truog 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.5
Pieter Prinsloo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -6.0

Saint Peter's Peacocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Blaise Ffrench * 43 2-9 0-0 2-5 4 9 2 0 1 6 11 -4.7
Desi Washington * 42 10-21 6-11 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 26 9 +2.7
Darius Conley * 30 7-11 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 14 6 -2.9
Chris Burke * 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 2 -2 -8.6
Yvon Raymond * 23 2-5 1-1 0-0 7 3 0 0 3 5 7 +5.2
Karee Ferguson 26 6-9 1-1 3-5 4 0 1 2 1 16 13 +7.5
Chazz Patterson 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 -5.2
Markese Tucker 14 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -3.9
Chris Prescott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.9

* = starter