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2013-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 16.0% 84.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.4% 98.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +24 (70-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 30 4-14 2-5 4-5 8 0 1 0 3 14 6 -
O. Reinfelds * 29 1-8 0-4 2-3 3 0 2 0 4 4 -3 -
D. Rodgers * 28 1-5 0-0 6-6 0 4 1 0 2 8 6 -
K. Bailey * 26 0-10 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -7 -
T. van der Mars * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
B. Pressley 31 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 4 6 0 2 8 14 -
R. Barker 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Ehlers 10 0-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
K. Thieleke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Ahern 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bailey 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Trasolini * 32 11-17 0-1 1-2 13 2 0 2 2 23 21 -
Kevin Foster * 28 3-8 1-5 3-3 2 5 2 0 3 10 8 -
Evan Roquemore * 27 1-6 0-3 1-2 0 6 2 1 4 3 2 -
Raymond Cowels * 23 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 11 4 -
Yannick Atanga * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 2 0 4 16 -
Brandon Clark 19 4-6 2-3 5-6 3 2 1 0 4 15 11 -
Julian Clarke 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
John McArthur 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Niyi Harrison 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Denzel Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kyle Perricone 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter