Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -2 (61-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Haws * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Brandon Davies * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +2.2 |
| Matt Carlino * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Brock Zylstra * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -15.5 |
| Josh Sharp * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Anson Winder | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Nate Austin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Craig Cusick | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Cory Calvert | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Bronson Kaufusi | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8.6 |
| Agustin Ambrosino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Skouen * | 38 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Lorne Jackson * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Jett Raines * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +10.7 |
| Jordan Baker * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Moriba De Freitas * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Stacy Davis | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +13.8 |
| Atif Russell | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +7.5 |
| Jan Maehlen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Austin Mills | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
* = starter