Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -14 (75-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Thompson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sherwood Brown * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Brett Comer * | 28 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Chase Fieler * | 26 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Eric McKnight * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Murray | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Filip Cvjeticanin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Christophe Varidel | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dajuan Graf | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Smith * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Will Wilson * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Travis Wallace * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| David Jeune * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Beau Beech * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Charles McRoy | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Demarcus Daniels | 20 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Andy Diaz | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ray Rodriguez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter