Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -20 (58-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hunter * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | +17.0 |
| Kyle Vinales * | 40 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +15.6 |
| Adonis Burbage * | 40 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +13.5 |
| Malcolm McMillan * | 38 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +15.6 |
| Joe Efese * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | +16.6 |
| Terrell Allen | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Andrew Hurd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Peel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Spinella * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -16.1 |
| Dion Nesmith * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -14.8 |
| Marcus Ware * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -9.4 |
| Jesse Steele * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -12.3 |
| Tyrone O'Garro * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Andrew Nicholas | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -11.9 |
| Max DiLeo | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Ed Waite | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Jalen Palm | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Gary Cox | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter