Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.2% | 0.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.2% | 0.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -45 (43-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Bell Jr. * | 23 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +15.8 |
| Elias Harris * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +17.4 |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +9.4 |
| Kevin Pangos * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +26.5 |
| Mike Hart * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +7.4 |
| David Stockton | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +8.2 |
| Przemek Karnowski | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Guy Edi | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Sam Dower | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +12.8 |
| Drew Barham | 14 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +22.4 |
| Kyle Dranginis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +7.7 |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ireland * | 36 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | -15.5 |
| Ayodeji Egbeyemi * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -30.6 |
| Ashley Hamilton * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Alex Osborne * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -27.8 |
| Bruce English * | 18 | 1-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10 | -28.1 |
| Taylor Walker | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | -2.7 |
| Godwin Okonji | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Marin Mornar | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Nick Stover | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
* = starter