Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +5 (76-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelis Hansberry | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jayon James | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Amos Olatayo | 30 | 11-18 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| R.J. McCray | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Trent Mackey | 24 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Millaun Brown | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Koszuta | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Lindsey | 10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Gantt | 37 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Richard Morrow | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Stefan Moody | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Pablo Bertone | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jackson Trapp | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kelvin Penn | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dragan Sekelja | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan McCoy | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Andre Mattison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter