Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -2 (68-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eshaunte Jones * | 38 | 7-13 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 26 | -3.4 |
| Ernest Watson * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Chad Jackson * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -12.5 |
| Ethan Faulkner * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| John Staley * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Jack Flournoy | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Tyler White | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -7.6 |
| Anthony Monaco | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Todd Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Jones * | 38 | 9-22 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | +13.4 |
| Lester Wilson * | 35 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -4.0 |
| Kinard Gadsden-Gilliard * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Hunter Harris * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Petey McClain * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Rashawn Rembert | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +10.3 |
| John Walton III | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Mario Stramaglia | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +14.4 |
| Yunio Barrueta | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
* = starter