Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -1 (69-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dre Evans * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | +0.6 |
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Roosevelt Johnson * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 31 | -5.0 |
| Roger Woods * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Jeffery Ricard * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Jeremy Campbell | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -11.7 |
| Antonnio Benton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Todd Nelson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.2 |
| Jamaal James | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Onochie Ochie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles * | 33 | 5-23 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Robert Crawford * | 31 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Daouda Berete * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Anthony Borden * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -5.5 |
| DeShone McClure * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Ryan Williams | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Tirrell Brown | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Lenell Brown | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Jordan Harks | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Zach Padgett | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Oliver Wells | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
* = starter