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Model Predictions

Model Iona Gaels Niagara Purple Eagles Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% - โœ—
Margin 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—

Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +3 (93-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Lamont Jones * 43 8-17 1-5 6-6 8 2 1 0 8 23 9 +4.2
Sean Armand * 41 3-8 2-7 3-5 5 7 2 0 3 11 14 -5.2
David Laury * 41 7-11 0-0 10-12 16 3 0 3 4 24 31 -3.5
Tre Bowman * 35 5-8 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 11 11 +3.1
Tavon Sledge * 28 2-5 0-0 4-6 0 3 0 0 1 8 5 -12.7
Curtis Dennis 22 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 11 7 +3.1
Taaj Ridley 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.2
DaShawn Gomez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.2

Niagara Purple Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Antoine Mason * 44 13-28 1-11 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 30 5 +2.5
Juan'ya Green * 43 7-22 2-10 10-13 5 8 3 0 1 26 19 +6.7
Ameen Tanksley * 36 5-12 3-6 2-2 11 1 2 0 0 15 17 +0.5
Devon White * 22 1-3 0-0 0-1 10 0 2 0 0 2 11 -10.1
Tahjere McCall * 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -3.1
Marvin Jordan 34 3-8 2-7 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 6 +11.6
T.J. Cline 24 4-6 3-4 0-2 2 3 2 0 0 11 12 +6.2
Malcolm Lemmons 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.7

* = starter