Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +31 (105-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Williams * | 38 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 5-11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 19 | -27.7 |
| P.J. Hardwick * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | -26.3 |
| Roger Franklin * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -21.9 |
| Tony Mitchell * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -14.7 |
| Alzee Williams | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | -28.0 |
| Justin Patton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.3 |
| Keith Coleman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -9.6 |
| Clarke Overlander | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Austin Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elfrid Payton * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | +22.8 |
| Shawn Long * | 32 | 9-20 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +17.8 |
| Steven Wronkoski * | 31 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Elridge Moore * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +16.9 |
| Alan-Michael Thompson * | 20 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +20.6 |
| Bryant Mbamalu | 28 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +18.1 |
| Josh Soto | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kasey Shepherd | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Braylon Lazare | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Aaron LeBlanc | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.3 |
* = starter