Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +21 (62-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Mejia * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -14.0 |
| David Imes * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -19.1 |
| Taran Buie * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Jordan Allen * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -11.3 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Moussa Kone | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -14.1 |
| Matt Grogan | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -14.8 |
| Adam Savion | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daquan Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.3 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayshawn Goins * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +16.9 |
| Ron Curry * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +14.3 |
| Andre Nation * | 28 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +10.1 |
| Devon Moore * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Taylor Bessick * | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -0.2 |
| A.J. Davis | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +11.9 |
| Charles Cooke | 21 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +14.8 |
| Enoch Hood | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +10.9 |
| Alioune Diouf | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Gene Swindle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
* = starter