Model Predictions
| Model | Quinnipiac Bobcats | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +4 (77-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Quinnipiac Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamee Jackson * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -13.4 |
| Zaid Hearst * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | +0.6 |
| Dave Johnson * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Evan Conti * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Ike Azotam * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Ousmane Drame | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 25 | +2.6 |
| Shaq Shannon | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Kendrick Ray | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -11.3 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shivaughn Wiggins * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -9.1 |
| Rashad Whack * | 31 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Julian Norfleet * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Raven Barber * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Xavier Owens * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Kelvin Parker | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +9.0 |
| Sam Prescott | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Taylor Danaher | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Kristijan Krajina | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +7.5 |
| Josh Castellanos | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Gregory Graves | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.6 |
* = starter