Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +12 (80-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 32 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Erik Buggs * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Will Bogan * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Van Wijk * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Matt Kenney * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LaVonte Dority | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Coleman | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ben Boggs | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Vashil Fernandez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Perry * | 38 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 8-11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 30 | - |
| Kamren Belin * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| DJ Cole * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Blake Allen * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Hain | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Weber | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Podolsky | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter