Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard * | 36 | 4-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| V. Sanford * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Benson * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Price | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Derenbecker | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Taylor * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Davis * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Christon * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Martin * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Redford | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. Philmore | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Stenger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Amos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter