Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -7 (76-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray McCallum * | 40 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 20 | +3.0 |
| Jason Calliste * | 40 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Juwan Howard Jr. * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -8.6 |
| Doug Anderson * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -6.8 |
| Nick Minnerath * | 24 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Evan Bruinsma | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +0.8 |
| Anton Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Jermaine Lippert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Ugochukwu Njoku | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Arceneaux * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Kendall Griffin * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Matt Vest * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -8.3 |
| Cole Darling * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Tavares Sledge * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Jerran Young | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +15.5 |
| AJ Pacher | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -10.3 |
| Joe Bramanti | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -3.8 |
| JT Yoho | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Miles Dixon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.5 |
* = starter