Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Tulane Green Wave | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulane Green Wave -8 (50-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Sykes * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +9.1 |
| Keith Clanton * | 39 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Calvin Newell * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10.7 |
| Daiquan Walker * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Kasey Wilson | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Matt Williams Jr. | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +8.2 |
| Staphon Blair | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Davis * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | -1.2 |
| Ricky Tarrant Jr. * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Kendall Timmons * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Jordan Callahan * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Tre Drye * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -10.4 |
| Louis Dabney | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Ben Cherry | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Lotanna Nwogbo | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Jay Hook | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Tomas Bruha | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Kevin Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Kajon Mack | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
* = starter