Model Predictions
| Model | DePaul Blue Demons | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +5 (79-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
DePaul Blue Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Melvin * | 38 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Brandon Young * | 36 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Jamee Crockett * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Donnavan Kirk * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Charles McKinney * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Moses Morgan | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Worrel Clahar | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Derrell Robertson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Durrell McDonald | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.5 |
| Montray Clemons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Greene IV * | 43 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jamal Branch * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +0.2 |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Sir'Dominic Pointer * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | -1.2 |
| D'Angelo Harrison * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Chris Obekpa | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -5.6 |
| Amir Garrett | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Marc-Antoine Bourgault | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Christian Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Felix Balamou | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
* = starter