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UNC Asheville Bulldogs 77
@
Presbyterian Blue Hose 74
2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Presbyterian Blue Hose Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% - ✓
Margin 85.0% 15.0% -9.6 ✓ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 81.0% 19.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 69.8% 30.2% - ✓

Actual: Presbyterian Blue Hose -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Hornsby * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 17 20 -
Trent Meyer * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 11 21 -
D.J. Cunningham * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 3 4 18 30 -
Will Weeks * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 0 0 9 21 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 22 27 -
Jon Nwannunu 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Hughes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marcus Neely 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaleel Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McTavish * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 12 -
K. Mutakabbir * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 21 23 -
E. Washington * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 5 5 11 -
J. Downing * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 19 21 -
W. Truss * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 19 26 -
J. Clyburn 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
A. Anderson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Hargrave 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter