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Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Presbyterian Blue Hose Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.7% 20.3% - โœ“
Margin 77.4% 22.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 97.9% 2.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 97.9% 2.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“

Actual: Presbyterian Blue Hose -3 (74-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Keith Hornsby * 38 7-15 1-6 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 17 5 -
Trent Meyer * 37 4-12 3-9 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 11 9 -
D.J. Cunningham * 35 9-12 0-0 0-2 10 1 2 3 4 18 18 -
Will Weeks * 34 4-6 0-0 1-4 8 2 2 0 0 9 15 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 33 5-10 1-4 11-13 3 2 1 1 2 22 17 -
Jon Nwannunu 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Sam Hughes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marcus Neely 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jaleel Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Ryan McTavish * 40 3-5 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Khalid Mutakabbir * 39 7-10 3-6 4-4 1 4 1 0 4 21 13 -
Eric Washington * 38 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 9 0 0 5 5 6 -
Jordan Downing * 35 7-10 5-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 19 11 -
William Truss * 20 8-11 1-1 2-3 5 1 2 0 1 19 15 -
Joshua Clyburn 17 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
Austin Anderson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ryan Hargrave 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter