Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.9% | 2.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -22 (49-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey McKnight * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Holden Greiner * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +2.8 |
| Gabe Knutson * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -5.7 |
| B.J. Bailey * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -5.0 |
| Anthony D'Orazio * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Stefan Cvrkalj | 27 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +11.6 |
| Justin Goldsborough | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +13.8 |
| Corey Schaefer | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +11.9 |
| Tyrone Staggers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Cory Goodman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilman Dunbar * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -11.6 |
| Worth Smith * | 28 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Will Kelly * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | +4.2 |
| Brandon Venturini * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +7.3 |
| Thurgood Wynn * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Kevin Alter | 20 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -13.3 |
| Phil Guglielmo | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brennan Wyatt | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Donya Jackson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -13.2 |
| James Loupos | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Ryan Spadaford | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl McLaurin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
* = starter