Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +26 (83-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javan Felix * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Julien Lewis * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Sheldon Mac * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Ioannis Papapetrou * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Cameron Ridley * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Connor Lammert | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Jaylen Bond | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Demarcus Holland | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -6.7 |
| Prince Ibeh | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Andrew Dick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Dean Melchionni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Rodriguez * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Shane Southwell * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Will Spradling * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Rodney McGruder * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Henriquez * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Thomas Gipson | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +10.3 |
| Omari Lawrence | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Nino Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Martavious Irving | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -5.7 |
| D.J. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Adrian Diaz | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Michael Orris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Ryan Schultz | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Shawn Meyer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter