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Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +8 (62-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jerome Seagears * 34 4-10 3-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 11 2 +2.7
Dane Miller * 24 2-8 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 3 4 -4 -3.8
Mike Poole * 23 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 4 +6.8
Kadeem Jack * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 2 2 -6.9
Wally Judge * 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 5 +0.6
Eli Carter 24 3-11 1-6 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 11 3 -0.2
Myles Mack 23 5-8 3-4 2-2 0 0 2 0 5 15 4 +9.1
Derrick Randall 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 +3.5
Austin Johnson 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 -0.7
Malick Kone 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 3 +3.6

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sean Kilpatrick * 39 5-13 3-8 6-8 6 4 2 0 3 19 15 +0.2
JaQuon Parker * 34 1-6 1-5 4-6 3 1 1 0 3 7 3 -6.6
Justin Jackson * 26 3-8 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 6 3 7 13 -8.7
Cheikh Mbodj * 24 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 10 10 -5.1
Cashmere Wright * 20 1-6 1-5 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 6 4 -1.1
Titus Rubles 18 1-1 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 0 1 6 11 +8.4
Ge'Lawn Guyn 16 1-3 0-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -1.0
Kelvin Gaines 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 +2.0
Jermaine Sanders 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.1
Shaq Thomas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.5
David Nyarsuk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.1

* = starter