Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Charleston Southern Buccaneers -1 (73-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hartley * | 38 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Tashan Newsome * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Donta Harper * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -10.7 |
| Tyler Strange * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -7.2 |
| Jerome Hill * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Jarvis Davis | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +9.5 |
| Max Landis | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Onzie Branch | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Mike Byron | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Isaiah Ivey | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.3 |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sexton * | 43 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Saah Nimley * | 41 | 8-21 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | +7.8 |
| Mathiang Muo * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Arlon Harper * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Alhaji Fullah * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Paul Gombwer | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Sheldon Strickland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Malcolm Bernard | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 |
* = starter