Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -3 (54-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Chris Matagrano * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | -4.7 |
| Ferg Myrick * | 35 | 5-21 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | +4.4 |
| Patrick Konan * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Jordon Bronner * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Scott Morris | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jeron Trotman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.3 |
| Tommy McDonnell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Chris Orozco | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alasdair Fraser * | 35 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Mike Allison * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Zarko Valjarevic * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Jon Mesghna * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.1 |
| Justin Edwards * | 12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Xavier Pollard | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Shaun Lawton | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7.8 |
| Till Gloger | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Jon McAllian | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.1 |
* = starter