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Cal Poly Mustangs 45
@
UC Irvine Anteaters 52
2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - ✗
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% - ✓

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Eversley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 15 21 -
D. U'u * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 8 17 -
D. Royer * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 10 -
B. Bennett * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 11 -
R. Morgan * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Odister 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
C. O'Brien 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 4 -
J. Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Awich 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Z. Gordon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Folker * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 16 24 -
D. Starring * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 12 18 -
M. Wilder * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 4 11 -
A. Young * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 3 8 -
W. Davis II * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 13 -
C. McNealy 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 13 -
D. Flowers 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Clifford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter