Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Awich | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Folker * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Mike Wilder * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Alex Young * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Will Davis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Chris McNealy | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Conor Clifford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter