Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +2 (57-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Boswell * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +15.7 |
| Taran Brown * | 33 | 5-19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 2 | +4.9 |
| T.J. Taylor * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Michael Bryson * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -7.4 |
| Sam Beeler * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Mitch Brewe | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Lewis Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Duke Da Re | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Nate Garth | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Shawn Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Ennis III * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -2.4 |
| Tony Freeland * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | -4.8 |
| Michael Caffey * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Keala King * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Dan Jennings * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Peter Pappageorge | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -7.0 |
| Deng Deng | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +2.3 |
| Kyle Richardson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Kris Gulley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Nick Shepherd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter