Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -2 (66-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon | 37 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 5-10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 24 | -1.3 |
| Marcus Damas | 32 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -7.7 |
| Bilal Dixon | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -13.1 |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Mike Burwell | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Jerome Hairston | 23 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | -5.3 |
| Kris Walden | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Jamel Flash | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Palmore | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | +6.7 |
| Richard Ross | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 22 | +0.1 |
| DeShawn Painter | 35 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +12.5 |
| Aaron Bacote | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Dimitri Batten | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +12.8 |
| Donte Hill | 15 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -0.4 |
| Nick Wright | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Martin Shaw | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Stuart McEwen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter