Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls +10 (79-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Young * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | -16.0 |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 35 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | -18.2 |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -24.3 |
| J.J. Thompson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -21.0 |
| Leon Gibson * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Tione Womack | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 14 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -13.5 |
| J.J. Richardson | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -5.0 |
| Mikhail McLean | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Brandon Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamir Jackson * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +20.9 |
| Julian DeBose * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Max Guercy * | 32 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +19.1 |
| Seth Gearhart * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Austin Ramljak * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +29.9 |
| Keith Washington | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +18.0 |
| Ross Wilson | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Bahrom Firozgary | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Dan Peera | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
* = starter