Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks -4 (68-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Paul * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -13.2 |
| Brandon Pokley * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -9.2 |
| Nate Hutcheson * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -12.8 |
| Shayne Whittington * | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Jared Klein * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -15.4 |
| Austin Richie | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +1.7 |
| David Brown | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Connar Tava | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Dan Loney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Taylor Perry | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Johnson Jr. * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +11.4 |
| Will Sullivan * | 30 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Quinten Rollins * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Will Felder * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 20 | +15.6 |
| Geovonie McKnight * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Jon Harris | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +13.2 |
| Allen Roberts | 18 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | +3.7 |
| Drew McGhee | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Jared Tadlock | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Vince Legarza | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
* = starter