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2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Bowling Green Falcons Spread Result
Elo 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.1% 15.9% - โœ“
Margin 81.7% 18.3% -8.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“

Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Abreu * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 9 17 -
Demetrius Treadwell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 1 0 3 10 23 -
Brian Walsh * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 5 9 -
Zeke Marshall * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 15 16 -
Nick Harney * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 10 16 -
Chauncey Gilliam 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 0 7 -
Pat Forsythe 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 8 12 -
Jake Kretzer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Reggie McAdams 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
Carmelo Betancourt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Ibitayo 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chauncey Orr * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 16 20 -
Jordon Crawford * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 3 5 13 -
Cameron Black * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 0 6 -
Anthony Henderson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A'uston Calhoun 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 11 22 -
Craig Sealey 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 10 13 -
Luke Kraus 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Richaun Holmes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -
Spencer Parker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
James Erger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Damarkeo Lyshe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter