Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +14 (91-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Thurman * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Downing * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Carmichael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Manigat * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. McDermott * | 31 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 27 | - |
| A. Chatman * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| G. Gibbs * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| G. Echenique * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Wragge | 20 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Dingman | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Yates | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| W. Artino | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stormberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Groselle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Olsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kelling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Oginni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter