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Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Margin 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +2 (73-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Dez Wells * 34 8-12 1-1 2-3 1 3 2 0 6 19 7 -
Jake Layman * 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 9 -
Shaquille Cleare * 17 0-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
Alex Len * 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 4 1 -
Seth Allen * 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
James Padgett 31 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Nick Faust 27 3-6 1-2 1-4 4 3 1 0 1 8 9 -
Logan Aronhalt 19 3-9 2-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Charles Mitchell 14 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Okaro White * 33 2-8 0-4 10-10 3 3 2 1 1 14 14 -
Montay Brandon * 33 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 3 2 -
Michael Snaer * 29 7-13 3-6 2-3 4 3 1 0 0 19 14 -
Terry Whisnant * 18 2-4 0-1 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Kiel Turpin * 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 3 0 6 10 -
Ian Miller 22 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 10 6 -
Michael Ojo 14 1-1 0-0 0-3 3 0 1 1 0 2 6 -
Boris Bojanovsky 12 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
Aaron Thomas 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Devon Bookert 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Robert Gilchrist 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter