Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +10 (66-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | -16.0 |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -13.4 |
| Kyle Gaillard * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Julian Boatner * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.8 |
| Terry Tarpey * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -17.7 |
| Matt Rum | 24 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Brandon Britt | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -14.3 |
| Tom Schalk | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Fred Heldring | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.1 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Saddler * | 38 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | +16.7 |
| Kyle Anderson * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +18.3 |
| Jamelle Hagins * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Jarvis Threatt * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +19.3 |
| Josh Brinkley * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +26.8 |
| Carl Baptiste | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Larry Savage | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| Marvin King-Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
* = starter