Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -6 (43-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Voelkel * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Clancy Rugg * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Candon Rusin * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -17.5 |
| Sandro Carissimo * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -5.9 |
| Ethan O'Day * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -15.9 |
| Luke Apfeld | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Josh Elbaum | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Trey Blue | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.8 |
| Brendan Kilpatrick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Nwakamma * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | +7.2 |
| Nate Sikma * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +11.5 |
| Yolonzo Moore II * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Jamie Schneck * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Corban Wroe * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 |
| John Peterson | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Wes Cole | 17 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Evan Cooper | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -5.8 |
| Parker U'u | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Oren Faulk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter