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2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 โœ“ (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Drmic * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 12 18 -
Mikey Thompson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 13 17 -
Ryan Watkins * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 7 10 -
Kenny Buckner * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Derrick Marks * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Igor Hadziomerovic 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 7 12 -
Joe Hanstad 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
Thomas Bropleh 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Jake Ness 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Darrious Hamilton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wes Eikmeier * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 10 13 -
Greg Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 9 16 -
Pierce Hornung * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 0 0 23 40 -
Dorian Green * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 15 -
Colton Iverson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 9 19 -
Daniel Bejarano 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 11 -
Jon Octeus 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 6 7 -
Gerson Santo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Joe De Ciman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Mason 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Josh Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stephon Wynn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter