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2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 62.0% 38.0% -2.7 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dotson * 27 3-8 1-4 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
E.J. Singler * 26 2-9 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 6 0 -
A. Kazemi * 24 2-4 0-0 2-2 9 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
J. Loyd * 23 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
T. Woods * 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
C. Emory 26 5-9 1-3 1-3 0 0 0 0 3 12 0 -
W. Moore 17 3-6 0-2 1-1 2 1 2 0 4 7 2 -
B. Carter 14 0-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
W. Austin 13 1-5 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
F. Richardson III 7 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
A. Kuemper 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Baker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Randle * 36 5-10 3-3 4-4 2 3 1 1 6 17 8 -
D. Powell * 31 4-12 0-1 4-9 13 1 3 1 2 12 16 -
A. Bright * 31 4-6 3-3 1-2 0 4 0 0 4 12 6 -
J. Huestis * 29 6-9 0-2 2-3 13 0 2 3 0 14 23 -
A. Brown * 28 4-6 0-1 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
J. Gage 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. Allen 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Sanders 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Harris 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. Verhoeven 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Nastic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Lemons 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter