Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Ole Miss Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -13 (74-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 22 | +17.6 |
| Archie Goodwin * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | +8.2 |
| Ryan Harrow * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +17.5 |
| Julius Mays * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Alex Poythress * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 35 | 10-19 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | +19.2 |
| Jarrod Polson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Jon Hood | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.7 |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Henderson * | 34 | 5-19 | 2-11 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | -9.4 |
| Jarvis Summers * | 32 | 5-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | -8.2 |
| LaDarius White * | 31 | 9-16 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Murphy Holloway * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Reginald Buckner * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Aaron Jones | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -3.8 |
| Nick Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Derrick Millinghaus | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Terry Brutus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Anthony Perez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Martavious Newby | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter