Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -12 (70-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 34 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Marcus Paige * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -2.7 |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Dexter Strickland * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +9.0 |
| Desmond Hubert * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Jackson Simmons | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -2.3 |
| J.P. Tokoto | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.3 |
| P.J. Hairston | 12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Brice Johnson | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Joel James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Hanlan * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +0.0 |
| Lonnie Jackson * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Ryan Anderson * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Eddie Odio * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Joe Rahon * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Patrick Heckmann | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -12.8 |
| Andrew Van Nest | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Danny Rubin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Dennis Clifford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
* = starter