Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | +22.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +33 (76-43). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Russell | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Lauren Burford | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Taylor Holeman | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Laura Sweeney | 0 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Roberts | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis | 0 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 0 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Caroline Doty | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter