Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina A&T Aggies +1 (63-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taariq Cephas * | 38 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Michael Murray * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Andre Armstrong * | 38 | 8-12 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | -1.4 |
| Patrick Cole * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +7.6 |
| Charles Ieans * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Sterling Smith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Collin Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Darryln Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Witter * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -3.1 |
| Lamont Middleton * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | -5.3 |
| Adrian Powell * | 36 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | -5.5 |
| Jean Louisme * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| DaMetrius Upchurch * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Jeremy Underwood | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Lawrence Smith | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| R.J. Buck | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Waylan Siverand | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
* = starter