Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +13 (63-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LeDay * | 34 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Anthony Collins * | 31 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -2.7 |
| Victor Rudd * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Javontae Hawkins * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -8.3 |
| Jawanza Poland | 21 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Martino Brock | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Kore White | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Jordan Omogbehin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vander Blue * | 34 | 13-20 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 16 | +13.8 |
| Trent Lockett * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Junior Cadougan * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +12.8 |
| Juan Anderson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Chris Otule * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +8.9 |
| Steve Taylor Jr. | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Jamil Wilson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Davante Gardner | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Derrick Wilson | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Todd Mayo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Jamal Ferguson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Jake Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Dylan Flood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter