Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -7 (56-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 36 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Rayshawn Goins * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -5.7 |
| Andre Nation * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Ron Curry * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.2 |
| Taylor Bessick * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Enoch Hood | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -4.8 |
| A.J. Davis | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Charles Cooke | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Alioune Diouf | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +6.1 |
| Gene Swindle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Rendleman * | 39 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | +7.1 |
| Chris Dixon * | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Tanner Milson * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +10.0 |
| Freddie Jackson * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Shane Reybold * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Cedrick Williams | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Craig Ponder | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -10.6 |
| Luke Hager | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Dylan Sherwood | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Nate Anderson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter