Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Saint Peter's Peacocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Peter's Peacocks -7 (54-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 39 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Desmond Wade * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +0.5 |
| Amadou Sidibe * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Josip Mikulic * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Marcus Gilbert * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +2.1 |
| Maurice Barrow | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Steve Johnston | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Colin Nickerson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Coleman Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Keith Matthews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
Saint Peter's Peacocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvon Raymond * | 40 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | -2.5 |
| Blaise Ffrench * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Chris Burke * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Darius Conley * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Desi Washington * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | +4.0 |
| Chazz Patterson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Markese Tucker | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Karee Ferguson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.9 |
* = starter