Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +8 (77-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gee McGhee * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Ronrico White * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -7.2 |
| Drazen Zlovaric * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Z. Mason * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -5.7 |
| Martynas Bareika * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Lance Stokes | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Sam Watson | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -5.8 |
| Farad Cobb | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Eric Robertson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Jared Bryant | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevis Simpson * | 33 | 14-25 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 22 | +17.3 |
| David Williams * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | +22.2 |
| Derrell Armstrong * | 28 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | -0.6 |
| Kayel Locke * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Drew Parker * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Kelvin McNeil | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Nicholas Paulos | 22 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jordan Potts | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.9 |
| Brian Cole | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter